Search results for "Human population dynamics"

showing 3 items of 3 documents

SIMULATING DEMOGRAPHY AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT DYNAMICS

2014

[EN] A deterministic/stochastic model in which the demographic and the well-being subsystems of a country are involved and related is presented as a way to approach human development. The demographic subsystem is a side-by-side, single-gender, age-structured population dynamic model. The well-being subsystem states the dynamics of the United Nations Hybrid Human Development Index. The model has been validated in the case of Spain and Belgium. Some simulations have been performed with the model for the case of Spain in the 2009-2020 period to determine strategies and scenarios that could increase the life expectancy at birth per gender. Copyright © 2014 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.

Governanceeducation.field_of_studyPopulation statisticsStochastic modellingPopulationHybrid Human Development IndexComputer simulationPopulation statisticsDeterministic modelsHuman development (humanity)Human population dynamicsStochastic modelsStochastic modelGeographyArtificial IntelligenceLife expectancyHuman Development IndexMATEMATICA APLICADAeducationHuman population dynamicsSimulationSoftwareInformation SystemsDemographyCybernetics and Systems
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A Stochastic Model for Population and Well-Being Dynamics

2014

This article presents a stochastic dynamic model to study the demographic evolution per sexes and the corresponding well-being of a general human population. The main model variables are population per sexes and well-being. The considered well-being variable is the Gender-Related Development Index (GDI), a United Nations index. The model's objectives are to improve future well-being and to reach a stable population in a country. The application case consists of adapting, validating, and using the model for Spain in the 2000–2006 period. Some instance strategies have been tested in different scenarios for the 2006–2015 period to meet these objectives by calculating the reliability of the res…

Governmenteducation.field_of_studyAlgebra and Number TheoryIndex (economics)Sociology and Political ScienceStochastic modellingPopulationUnited Nations' well-beingInvestment (macroeconomics)Human population dynamicsVariable (computer science)Stochastic modelEconometricsEconomicsOperations managementGender-Related Development Index (GDI)educationMATEMATICA APLICADAHuman population dynamicsSocial Sciences (miscellaneous)Reliability (statistics)
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Age-Structured Human Population Dynamics

2006

ABSTRACT A von Foerster-McKendrick model to study age-structured human population dynamics is presented in this paper. Forecasts of population density (population per age unit) depending on ages are possible using this model. The model consists of a quasi-linear first order partial differential equation for the dynamics of population density per age-unit (except for the zero-age), a boundary condition for the births flow at zero-age, and an initial condition for the population density at the initial instant. A general solution independent of the particular human-system under study is obtained based on some hypotheses about the mathematical structure of its input variables. The model has bee…

education.field_of_studyAlgebra and Number TheorySociology and Political SciencePopulationFirst-order partial differential equationPopulation densityHuman population dynamicsFlow (mathematics)StatisticsQuantitative Biology::Populations and EvolutionInitial value problemBoundary value problemMathematical structureeducationSocial Sciences (miscellaneous)MathematicsDemographyThe Journal of Mathematical Sociology
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